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The cost of the Treaty of Paris

The Paris Convention is the most expensive convention to date, but is it even enough? Even if all the recommendations are implemented, not even one percent of what is needed to stop global warming by 2 degrees will be achieved

French President Francois Hollande at the climate conference in Paris, November 2015. Photo: Frederic Legrand - COMEO / Shutterstock.com
French President Francois Hollande at the climate conference in Paris, November 2015. Photo: Frederic Legrand – COMEO / Shutterstock.com

There is a contract... and the price? Bjorn Lomburg is a Dane who writes and publishes articles on environmental matters. Since his skepticism matches my feelings, I found it appropriate to bring his concise response to the "celebration" that was in Paris.

After two weeks of positive speeches, after extensive activity behind the scenes, there is an agreement. Although the activists are celebrating, the Paris Agreement has little chance of stopping the warming. The Paris Agreement promises to keep the temperature increase below two degrees, but the promise lacks backup since it is estimated that to stop the warming below two degrees, carbon dioxide emissions must be reduced by 6,000 gigatons.
According to the estimates of the UNFCCC, the organizers of the convention, even if all the promises of the Paris Agreement are fulfilled, between 2016 and 2030 emissions will be reduced by 56 gigatons. In a simple calculation, even in the most positive case, the reduction in emissions will be one percent (1%). That means 99 percent of the problem will continue to exist and the warming will continue. That's why the statement that the Paris Agreement will stop warming before two degrees is at best a flamboyant show that doesn't really exist, "as if announcing the success of a slimming diet after the first salad."

The Paris Convention will be the most expensive of all the treaties that have existed so far. Economic studies and analyzes show that by 2030 the cost of the treaty (the decrease in implicit domestic product) will be about two trillion dollars. Our duty to the world is much greater, in the need to stop the damage of warming as well as in our duty to use the resources wisely.
The good thing that came out of the conference in Paris is the announcement by Bill Gates along with other rich people that they will invest in the development of green and renewable energy. The announcement was also joined by China, Australia, France, Saudi Arabia, Germany and more. The declaration that will be fulfilled is indeed a most blessed and good initiative. For a long time, the claim has been made that there is a need for greater investments in green energy, which will enable the creation of clean energy that will be competitive with the burning of fossil fuels. Without such competitiveness, there is little chance of reducing emissions.

The claim that reducing emissions will have no cost or even an economic profit does not correspond to today's industrial and technological reality. It is clear that if the green energy production technology had a chance to compete with the burning of fossil fuels, there would be no need for the Paris conference. Because "every country would reduce emissions out of an aspiration to get rich." The initiative of Bill Gates is a right step to deal with the warming through activity to reduce those 99% of the emissions that the Parisian treaty misses.

The agreement to allocate 100 billion dollars a year for the benefit of the poor countries also relies on the intention and initiative to distribute solar panels to generate electricity. The residents of the states claim that "distributing solar panels seems immoral" since there are cheaper and better ways such as: investing in education (especially for girls), in vaccinations against diseases, in providing clean water, and above all investing in education for proper family size planning.

So much for Bjorn Lomburg's words, and I will add that the time has come that instead of controlling the environment for the sake of the human population, there will be control of the human population for the sake of the environment!

3 תגובות

  1. A waste of time and money. There has been slow global warming in the last 120 years and all the "proofs" of a link between global warming and the accumulation of CO2 are very weak and do not justify wasting money (which should go to more important purposes).

    Apart from that - it is expected that within 50 years the LENR facilities will produce heat from relatively cheap nuclear processes without any material emissions. For a slightly longer term - it is expected that the use of solar energy will increase in technologies that are not yet known (it is not yet clear whether these technologies will pollute the earth or not).

  2. The treaty signed in Paris is nothing more than another attempt to lull the public to sleep and obscure the immediate dangers of global warming, there is no real action and the media coverage is aimed at presenting this as unprecedented steps to prevent climate change when in practice nothing that was before the signing of the treaty will be different after it.

  3. In order to seriously deal with global warming, an immediate investment of 3 trillion dollars is needed and an additional investment of 30 trillion dollars in the next decade to reach a situation where carbon (oil, gas and coal) stops being taken out of the ground and emitted into the atmosphere. This includes a transition of all means of transportation, production and everything that is powered by fossil fuel to be powered by electric energy and a transition to power generation that will drive all these things using wind, solar, wave, hydrogen and nuclear fusion energy which are all clean and renewable. In order to clean the earth and restore the damage done so far by man, we will need additional investment, the scope of which is unclear, because unlike global warming, no one has ever thought to check what and how much has been destroyed, and how much investment we need to repair the damage, and not really what needs restoration and what doesn't. In any case, even if we stop destroying the earth, nature will restore it by itself and for free, but it will take a very long time, we will see the first buds of the process within a decade, but full restoration can also take millions and tens of millions of years, and the improvement will be gradual, every decade we will see more and more things working out and return to nature.

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