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"the rainmaker"

Contrary to the initial predictions, global warming did not bring the tropical rains to the Horn of Africa, on the contrary, the area is drying up. This is according to a study published in the journal Science

Africa. Illustration: shutterstock
Africa. Illustration: shutterstock

In the days when UN resolutions are published on the continuation of the "Millennium Plan" until 2030 and preparations are being made for the climate conference that will be held in Paris in December, a paleoclimate study carried out by Jessica Tierney Jessica Tierney

Tierney gave her study the title: "Past and future rainfall in the Horn of Africa." The study shows that: "Because of global warming, the Horn of Africa regions will be drier," the researcher built a 2000-year paleoclimate model based on marine sediments, and based on an isotopic test of leaf cuticle. The combination of the two tests made it possible to reconstruct the dry periods corresponding to warm periods in the world.

In weighing the paleoclimatic findings with the effect of global warming in the 20th century, the researcher suggests that contrary to predictions that predicted more rain in the Sahel and Sahara, "global warming will cause less rain in the short rainy season." That is, large areas in the Horn of Africa (Djibouti, Somalia and northern Ethiopia) will suffer from extreme drought which will cause severe damage to agriculture, and will be a threat to food security. This is in an area where hunger already prevails today and from which refugees are flowing to Europe.

The results of the study clarify the need for an appropriate simulation of the climate in dry areas where global warming will seriously damage, and of course for effective activity to mitigate the negative results that will arise as a result of global warming.

Although the Turkana region does not belong to the Horn of Africa, the geographical proximity and the similar dry climate connect it to a common destiny and future.
The Turkana region in northern Kenya is one of the driest and hottest regions in the country. The Turkana herders are used to going up to higher areas for the rainy seasons. In this way they avoid floods in the wadis and the rains fill watercourses and grow pastures for food.

But the periods of drought that are getting longer and multiplying have led to the situation in which the shepherds are
They concentrate for long periods next to the few water sources and the situation causes violent conflicts between them and other tribes.

The drought periods that are getting longer and longer do not match the predictions that stated that "as a result of global warming, there will be a shift of rains from the equatorial regions to the north (and south) and as a result there will be more rains in the Sahel and the Sahara."
Now, maybe in the framework of the "hysterical preparations for El Nino" there are those who give hope. Traditional "rain collectors" advise shepherds to prepare for the ascent to high areas, since in the coming rainy season (in the next month) "considerable amounts of rain will fall"...

The message of the traditional "rainbowmen" adds validity to the message of (official) forecasters who recommend evacuating low-lying places due to fear of floods caused by El Nino. El Nino comes every three to seven years in varying intensities and its effect on northern Kenya and the Horn of Africa is not constant. Should the Turkana learn to rely on El Niño?

We will recall that not long ago, extensive aquifers were discovered in the Turkana region. That is, with the right investment there is a great chance of solving the water problem in Turkana and large areas in northern Kenya. Perhaps within the framework of the resolutions at the UN, budgets will be directed to the development of Turkana in particular and arid areas in general.

The media praises the UN resolutions to continue the "Millennium Plan"
which is supposed to "reduce world hunger while developing sustainably and preserving the natural environment". At the same time - in preparation for the climate conference that will be held in Paris in December, there is a conflict between the developed and rich countries and the poor countries when the poor countries demand more financial resources to prevent the damage of global warming on the correct claim that the causes of global warming are the industrial activities of the rich countries.

Those who responded (partially) to the demand for the provision of resources are the European Union countries, according to their representative in Dodoma - Tanzania, "the European Union will direct 20% of its budget to prevent climate damage." The intention is to prevent damages caused as a result of global warming. Let's recall that the warming is caused by emissions of pollutants for which the "developed" countries are responsible.

According to the announcement, the budget will be directed to developing countries in favor of projects and programs to mitigate the negative effects of warming. The announcement follows the funding of a successful project to establish a settlement area in Tanzania where the development will be sustainable and allow adequate subsistence while taking into account the natural environment and preparing for the consequences of warming. The representative went on to say that: "The project is designed to help people also prevent poverty" and as such will be an example of how the resources will be invested.

Ahead of the "climate conference" that will be held in Paris in December, Avi Blizovsky, editor of the "Hidan" website, drew my attention to the use of the washed-up term "climate changes". Therefore, it is worth repeating that many of the extreme climate phenomena that the world has experienced: floods, mudslides, heat or cold waves, long periods of drought, and more, originate and become more severe and extreme due to global warming caused by greenhouse gas emissions by human activity.
That is, again, the culprit of global warming, which also causes the extremism of climatic phenomena, is man.

That is why I will come back again and write that it is appropriate that instead of controlling the environment for the sake of the human population, there should be control of the human population for the sake of the environment.

One response

  1. After reading Ehud Amir's article on the subject of the happiness formula, it is difficult to know what seriousness should be given to this or that study published in a certain monthly.

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