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Food production is at risk

By the year 2050, the world's population is expected to grow to about ten billion men and women, and as a result, the demand for food will increase by fifty percent above the current demand, which will intensify the existing pressure on natural sources and resources. Compared to a moderate growth of the economy, the global demand for agricultural products will rise. The UN wants to prepare for this in order to prevent mass starvation

Children in a refugee camp in the city of Dadaab in Somalia, in 2011. The refugees suffered from hunger, following the ongoing civil war in the country and severe drought. Photo: Sadik Gulec / Shutterstock.com
Children in a refugee camp in the city of Dadaab in Somalia, in 2011. The refugees suffered from hunger, following the ongoing civil war in the country and severe drought. Photo: Sadik Gulec / Shutterstock.com

According to a UN report: "The ability of the human race to feed itself is in danger", due to the increasing pressure on natural resources, unequal distribution and the impact of climate change.

According to the spokesperson of the Food and Agriculture Organization (UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)), despite the fact that in the last thirty years there has been real progress in reducing hunger in the world, "the expansion of food production and economic growth have come at the expense of the natural environment." The director of the agency (José Graziano da Silva) warns that almost half of the forests that covered the planet have disappeared, underground water sources are being polluted, salted and dried up, and biodiversity is being severely damaged.

By the year 2050, the world's population is expected to grow to about ten billion men and women, and as a result, the demand for food will increase by fifty percent above the current demand, which will intensify the existing pressure on natural sources and resources. Compared to a moderate growth of the economy, the global demand for agricultural products will rise.

At the same time, more people will eat more grains, more meat, more vegetables and more processed food, a process that will cause more deforestation, more damage to soil quality and greenhouse gas emissions, at the same time that climate change will add obstacles that will affect food production systems.

The main question that arises from the report is: Will the agricultural and food production systems in the world succeed in meeting the needs of the population in a sustainable manner? According to the agency, the short answer is - yes, the systems are capable of sustainably producing food. To develop capabilities that will benefit all of humanity, many changes will be necessary, since without the development of systems and tools, a significant part of the world's population will experience hunger even in 2030, which is the target year for the elimination of world hunger. (Sustainable Development Goals (SDG).

Without efforts to promote equality and development for the poor (pro-poor) and for sensitive populations more than 600 million people will be in a state of malnutrition even in 2030. According to the current situation, it is very likely that even in 2050, hunger will be common. Considering the restrictions on the expansion of agriculture on additional land - an increase in food production will require an improvement in productivity, an efficient use of sources and an efficiency of all systems, but there are worrying signs that the increase in the yield of main crops has stopped - since 1990, the yield of rice, corn and wheat has only increased by XNUMX percent per year. According to the agency's report: in order to overcome the challenge "business as usual is not an option", large and significant changes in the agricultural systems must take place.

Intensive agriculture of uniform crops (monoculture) on large areas - causes deforestation, soil damage and the emission of pollutants into the soil, water and air and does not satisfy everyone's needs, therefore the principle guiding the report is "more using less" (more with less).
The main challenge is to produce more with less, that is, to produce more food while harming the environment less, by improving the production conditions of "small" farmers and households, which will provide nutritional security to the most vulnerable populations. For this, it is necessary to invest immediately in rural companies, an investment that will increase the earning capacity and give an opportunity to the poor.
Investments in those populations will enable a transition to food production in less harmful, more efficient and sustainable systems, which will reduce the use of fossil fuel and thereby reduce the emission of pollutants from agricultural fields, reduce waste and allow better preservation of the natural environment.

In order to implement this policy, it is necessary to invest in research into agricultural systems and food production, it is necessary to promote innovation and support sustainable production, it is necessary to implement ways to deal with water shortages and climate change, to create systems that will link the "small" farmer to urban markets and thus ensure consumer access to food Quality at a low price.

  • The report identifies "and enumerates" trends and challenges that will affect the food systems:
    Trends:
  • Rapid population growth mainly in "hot spots" such as urbanization and aging
  • Changes in economic growth, investments in agriculture and economic inequality
  • Increasing competition for natural resources
  • Climate change or warming
  • Increase in friction and natural disasters
  • Persistent poverty and food insecurity
  • Changes in diet affect health
  • Increase in migration or migration
  • Changes in food production systems that affect farmers
  • Changes in the financing systems for development
    Challenges:
  • The eradication of extreme poverty
  • Ending all forms of hunger
  • Improving income capacities in rural areas and addressing the causes of migration
  • Building resilience to natural disasters
  • Preventing threats to farmers and food production due to cross-border policies
  • Reference to a sensible and effective environmental policy by governments and international bodies

It is appropriate that the leaders of our country learn and internalize these recommendations in order to prevent the destruction of agriculture in the country, because at a time when the world understands the need to promote farmers and help the development of the agricultural sector - in our country, the leaders are dealing with fatal damage to farmers and agriculture.

And as is my habit in the sacred, I will add that above all the time has come that instead of controlling the environment for the sake of the human population, there will be control of the human population for the sake of the environment.

More of the topic in Hayadan:

 

12 תגובות

  1. Miracles
    In my opinion, just the opposite, people will be much more reluctant to eat something like meat from a laboratory than something they know is made from plants (legumes and wheat) mainly. I don't think people have any reluctance to taste meat substitutes like plant-based sausages. The reluctance is perhaps created after the tasting and is mainly due to watching for a specific taste or people really don't like the taste, I must admit that all the meat substitutes I tasted did not really taste like meat. And maybe a little less tasty (meat has a stronger taste and is always fattier) but I don't think anyone is put off by the very idea that something is made of wheat. So if the taste is good there is no reason for people to shy away. You will never be able to please the true connoisseur (neither with a plant-based substitute nor with laboratory meat). They will always say that they feel that it is not really a dairy calf (which was tied from the moment it was born for the rest of its life so that it would not move a muscle) or that the goose liver did not really come from a goose that was forced to push food into it with a funnel (more than once every day every day. In immense suffering) and although It is forbidden as a society to allow such things.

  2. Miracles
    Sorry from the bottom of my heart.
    Regarding meat produced in a laboratory, I don't think it is the future at all (not in the context of food at least. I hope that in the context of organs for transplantation yes)
    And this is for several reasons, 1: it will take a long time before it will really be possible to produce at a reasonable cost. The challenges are much greater than people think 2: It is not at all certain that the process will be "payable" at all from an environmental point of view. 3: There is a good chance that such meat will suffer from the same "diseases" of the meat that is grown industrially today. Meat in the lab will be without a body with an immune system (even today's chickens have a very weak immune system, but it's at least something) and if you try to grow it industrially, I'm sure that quantities of antibiotics will be needed. And of course hormones too. 4: The main reason and it is much simpler to produce convincing and healthier meat substitutes. Especially with the help of new technologies for the production of flavors with the help of genetically engineered yeasts that produce the original flavors of the meat. In my opinion, this is the best direction to invest in. The adult has already been produced using the method I mentioned and a combination of protein from legumes and wheat protein. And in the taste test of leading chefs, it received an excellent score (which cannot be said about the grown meat from a laboratory) and of course its cost was also an order of magnitude lower. It is true that meat substitutes will only be processed meat (I don't believe they will be able to produce a convincing piece of meat), but even laboratory meat is not close to producing a whole piece of meat. (much more complicated and requires the growth of blood vessels and other problems. One day they will succeed in this too, but it will not be cheap or simple)

  3. א
    I really didn't even hint at it!!!
    The article I linked to describes synthetic meat, a product created in a laboratory as a substitute for harming animals.
    Come on, at least make an effort and read the title...

  4. Miracles
    There is no point in sending me links in English.
    But do you also think that vegetarianism is a "big lie"?
    If so which part exactly.

  5. my father
    Maybe you will detail what the big lie of vegetarianism is.
    Isn't the lawsuit of eating meat many times greater?
    Don't the animals go through terrible suffering in the meat industry?
    What exactly is the lie?

  6. Vegetarianism is a lie that has already been proven many times.
    And I hope that it will not be allowed to start a debate on this website on the subject for and against the religion of vegetarianism.

  7. The simple solution would be to go beyond vegetarianism. Most of the agricultural yield goes to feed the meat industry. which produces only a small percentage of that as food.

  8. The key phrase is actually "the time has come that instead of controlling the environment for the sake of the human population, there will be control of the human population for the sake of the environment."
    It is amazing that the UN as usual is busy writing reports, idle chatter about the conclusions of the reports, and acts mainly in directions that will increase the number of UN jobs and its budgets because then they will be "forced" to establish more aid camps, clinics, refugee camps as a result of the wars that will occur due to hunger and poverty and more and more They don't think to apply the simplest and cheapest solution of contraceptives to those populations in order to improve the situation in the next generation.
    Let's hypothetically assume that the UN found a magic solution that would produce food from nothing at zero cost and all those children would no longer be hungry. But then they will lack the higher needs that require even more resources from the environment.
    The world and the environment are on the edge of an abyss and this kind of solutions that do not see a meter ahead deteriorate the situation even more. In the end the environment will win and there will simply be an epidemic or a war over one resource or another that will exterminate all those children that the UN made sure would not be hungry, the main thing is that they die with a full stomach and that it will not be on their conscience.

  9. The key phrase is "unequal distribution".
    In the western world there is an abundance of agricultural theology far, far beyond what is needed.
    In the spoiled western world, the requirements for the appearance and quality of the produce are constantly rising in the direction of beauty and aesthetics, any fruit that does not look according to the appropriate model for export is considered "choosing" and trash, many tons of produce are destroyed - more than reach the market.
    Agricultural research institutes and the chemical industry for agriculture invest huge capital in developments intended only for the purpose of improving the cosmetics of the produce and improving the profits of the farmers and the industry.
    No one put a penny towards saving the third world from starvation. Apart from a few here and there, there are donors whose goal is to get additional advertising or a tax discount.

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