What do the experts really know?
Ami Ben Best
"The animals that move - they have organs and muscles. Earth does not have
organs and not muscles, therefore he does not move." This interesting sentence
pronounced in 1633 by an important professor of mathematics at the University of Pisa named
Scipio Ciaarmonti. Since in those days the ideas were already there
Copernicus' "odds" (our good earth moves around the sun)
are rapidly gaining momentum, found that expert professor correct
throw his full weight in order to demonize the new theory.
Spectrum remembers the expert from Pisa when he occasionally encounters the determination of
The experts and their unquestionable determinations in the subjects they are
Choose to express yourself. The background for the emergence of experts in human society is
says, is our need, mortals used to making decisions all the time
In our life. Since reality is not always simple and sometimes decisions are needed
Not simple, it would be nice if there was someone who could help. for exactly that
The experts were invented - people who are supposed to have specific knowledge
and a skill that projects enough authority to convince us to patronize
In the shadow of their beam. Modern society is addicted to experts. Our need for experts
It is so great that even when it turns out in retrospect that the diagnosis or prognosis of
An expert, one or another, was found to be completely unfounded, not in the slightest
change our attitude towards them.
The fact that experts are not immune to mistakes is well felt by an Englishman
In the name of Trevor Bayliss, whose humiliation was recounted years ago in a weekly magazine
"New Scientist". Bayliss developed a radio that works with the help of a mechanical mechanism.
All that is needed is just to turn a small handle in it a number of similar turns
The clock spring and the radio will play for about an hour, without any batteries. the inventor
The British approached many entities to invest in the project but they accepted
in the negative The record was in a reasoned letter from two experts who analyzed his invention
And they wrote to him that in order for the radio to work, the spring mechanism should weigh approx
- 51 kg, and even then the radio will work for no more than - 10 minutes. The pair of experts
He didn't stop there and even suggested that he consider using a thermometer as an energy source
To be inserted under the armpit or in the buttock. The end of the story, for him
Baileys at least, was good. In South Africa, several dozen are currently produced
Thousands of such radios every month.
In 1984 Victor Nevsky and Christopher Seraf testified in their book: "Experts
We are talking about some of the more famous accidents that happened in the world of all kinds
experts in various fields. (A new edition was released not long ago) Here is, for example, what
According to Irving Fisher, a well-known American professor of economics on the subject of the market:
"Today the shares reached what appears to be a high and stable level." the things
It was said in 1929 about a month before the American stock market crashed and one began
One of the biggest crises in the economic history of the world. Also experts
Deer can split. As happened, for example, to the famous French Marshal
Ferdinand Poch on the eve of the First World War. Posh: "Planes are
Interesting toys but without military value." And also famous astronomers
Like Sir William Herschel of the 18th century who determined after some observations that:
"We should not hesitate to admit that the sun is full of living beings." And finally I suggest
Spectrum is a particularly interesting diagnosis given at the time by Aldo Brandirali,
The one who served about 20 years ago as the secretary of the Italian Communist Party.
Brandirali, apparently an expert on communism, did not hide his background
His Marxist-Leninist when he stated without hesitation that "sex without recognition
Class cannot bring satisfaction, even if they repeat it endlessly."
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