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Researchers from the Hebrew University and Hadassah: the risk of a renewed outbreak of the corona virus in Israel is increasing

In a new document by the Hebrew University's team of researchers, it was stated that the downward trend in confirmed infections that began at the end of July and marked the halting of the second wave changed for the worse last week

The Corona epidemic in Israel. Illustration: shutterstock
The Corona epidemic in Israel. Illustration: shutterstock

In a new document by the Hebrew University's team of researchers, it was noted that the downward trend in confirmed infections that began at the end of July and marked the containment of the second wave changed for the worse last week. "The decrease in the infection rate has stopped and stabilized at a value of 1. An epidemic in a state of R = 1 And a high number of infected people is not stable, and may be due to a combination of wave decay and the beginning of a renewed increase. This kind of behavior characterizes the first stages of a renewed outbreak. The cause of the change is not clear, it may be due to a loosening of compliance with the guidelines." claim the researchers. "The manner of change in the number of those hospitalized in moderate and severe conditions is similar to the month of June, at the beginning of the 'second wave' outbreak. Looking ahead raises fears of another outbreak".

Current Corona report as of August 18, 2020, on behalf of Hebrew University researchers

The researchers also clarify: "We must prepare for the tightening of the current restrictions, because another outbreak at the current level of infection will be significantly more difficult than the previous wave. It seems that the spread of the disease requires strict gatherings in closed places in Israel, similar to the restrictions that stopped the second wave."

The researchers who sign the document, similar to the previous documents recently published, are Prof. Yanon Ashkenazi, Prof. Ran Nirpaz (Hadassa Hospital), Prof. Doron Gazit, Prof. Ronit Kalderon-Margalit, Dr. Michael Assaf and Prof. Nadav Katz - from the Rakah Institute of Physics and the School of Public Health and Community Medicine at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem.

Graphs from the latest Corona report, 18.8.2020

Also, the researchers emphasize that the mortality forecast "rising in recent days", And that "Over 800 dead in total (expected) towards the end of August". Also, according to the indicators and graphs presented in the document, it seems that there has been a renewed increase in the number of patients in moderate condition in the past five days, "An increase that raises fears of a future increase in the number of patients in serious condition and a breakthrough in the current levels of morbidity.. The increase forward in recent days - an increase in the number of patients in serious condition".

15 תגובות

  1. It's unfortunate, but in today's reality, hospital managers who want budgets must align themselves with the Ministry of Health officials, who in turn align themselves with Bibi.

    The trend at the end of August is not an increase at all, neither in the cases of infection nor in the number of seriously ill patients; There is an increase in the number of dead, but it is usually at a fixed (and familiar) gap of 3 weeks after the increase in the number of cases - the time of their illness.

  2. Everything is from the Creator of the world period.
    As it was in the past, as it is told in our holy Torah, when the people of Israel sinned, a plague came upon us... and thanks to Pinchas, the plague stopped, so it was throughout history, the equation is simple with Israel walking the straight path of the Torah, he ascends higher and higher and is blessed, while those who step on the Torah, trample on it, trample on the Sabbath , assimilation, break-ins, and more and more and more...we are beaten by afflictions and plagues, all for the love of God to bring us back on the right track, just like a father shouts and punishes his son just to educate him and set him straight, all out of love.
    Good news .

  3. Israel is the most infected in the world. What is not enough evidence that there is an outbreak?

  4. All the commenters here who talk about lax discipline:
    Say, you bunch of dark communists, how long will you poison humanity with your ignorance? Wake up already Inel your sister, you are wreaking havoc on the human race, cowardly creatures without criticism and independent thinking like you.
    Yes, they have wasted our lives already.. because of delusions like you we have to go back to the 18th century. Taffy Aza is stored with these stupid masks and these delusional rules and restrictions. You are being fed fears and lies and you are eagerly swallowing, I'm with you, wake up already!!

  5. This is because you did not listen to Barbash, he was right in everything he said, let him manage everything, you must listen to him and do what he asks, and believe that his method will succeed in the end

  6. As long as it doesn't harm you or your family members, then there is no corona. I know relatives who lost their dear ones, don't underestimate it, corona affects everyone. Take care of yourself, don't underestimate it, lest we say it was too late.

  7. No self-discipline. The "it will be fine" culture.
    Guides to put on a mask, then put on the neck.
    When already placed on the face, do not cover the nose.
    "It won't happen to me"
    "I will not receive a fine"
    Hello people, do what you are told!!!
    When you start, God forbid, you'll eat your heart out.
    Why the hell wasn't I careful???
    It will already be too late!!!!!!!!!!

  8. Everything is a lie. You haven't explored the Earth yet and know nothing about it, how do you know what's out there Moon Elk.

  9. The liars of science continue to invent waves for us that did not and will not exist. Corona patients live a good life, party in hotels and all the scientists eat their hats in search of an epidemic that did not exist. It is allowed to say "we were wrong" but apparently it is difficult even for a scientist to turn the wheel backwards...

  10. It is possible that the situation is indeed changing for the worse because of the loosening of adherence to all the rules that the public was asked to keep!! The "loosening" does not start from below / from the public, it starts "from above"!!! "When those close to the seniors" disregard the law, the little ones on the street are treated accordingly! "And taking advantage" of the "relationships" they have with law enforcement. This is how, for example, someone answered me when I told him that he would receive a report because of a violation of the law that was passed at that moment, his response: "No one has been born in this city yet... not a policeman or an inspector who will write me or my friends a report..." . That's not how you build a country, that's how you destroy a country that was built by honest people!!! Blood, sweat and tears!!! And unfortunately, today all that remains is to look at what is happening and cry!!! Today I am no longer at the age and health of wars for change or correction, I am in a condition to survive

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