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NASA Reduces Risk of Apophis Asteroid Impact in 2029 and 2036

NASA calculated the trajectory of the asteroid later in the century and revealed another approach to the two known ones of 2029 and 2036, also in the sixties of the 21st century

The orbit of the asteroid Apophuis in the transit of 2029, does not threaten the Earth
The orbit of the asteroid Apophuis in the transit of 2029, does not threaten the Earth

NASA scientists have recalculated the trajectory of the asteroid Appois and significantly reduced the chance that it will hit the Earth. According to the Hadami data, the trajectory of the asteroid may hit the Earth in 2036 with a chance of 1 in 250 thousand, and not 1 in 45 thousand as previously thought. The asteroid is expected to make a close, but still harmless, approach on Friday, April 13, 2029, when it will reach a distance of 29,400 km from Earth, slightly less than the height of the communication satellites.

The new data provide a glimpse of the asteroid's trajectory until the end of the century. Among the findings - another approach of the asteroid is expected in 2068, with a chance of impact of 1 in 333 thousand. As for the preliminary estimates according to which damage could not be ruled out in the 2029 or 2036 transitions, additional data were required.

At first it was believed that Apophis had a 2.7% risk of colliding with Earth in 2029. Additional calculations ruled out a collision in 2029.

The updated orbit determination strengthens the hypothesis that Apopois is an asteroid, and we must take the opportunity to say that it is not to be feared, says Don Yeomans, director of the Near-Earth Object Project at JPL. "The public can continue to follow, as we continue to explore Appois and other near-Earth objects through the Jet Propulsion Laboratory website.

For the news in Universe Today

The never ending story of Apophis
The never-ending story of Apophis, continued

9 תגובות

  1. Nice if nothing happens in 2012 there is always something to look forward to
    April 2029. This is how cult leaders and sellers will profit
    of vision books and blah at the expense of quite a lot of idiots.

  2. Thanks to the supervisory authority - I hope they pay you well so you don't go on strike

  3. Pay attention to the date - on Friday, April 13... (something mystical? - maybe?

    Interesting - I was born on April 12th and I will have time to celebrate my birthday.

  4. My calculations suggested that in 2068, the chances of the asteroid hitting the Earth are
    One for 333334.287.

    Isn't it more respectable and serious to point out that the chances of injury are 1 in 300000??

  5. What fun it is to start the morning with optimistic news about asteroids on their way to Earth - a pleasure.

    And Gil, you just made me laugh, or not...

  6. I came back from the future, Apophis collided with a communication satellite due to the force of the collision it changed course and was thrown directly to Earth, it was in 2029
    On Friday, the 13th

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