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What we need to know about swine flu

"The global preparedness level for the spread of swine flu, which is currently at level 5 out of 6, is not at all related to the severity of the disease, but to the route of infection," says Prof. Manfred Green, head of the School of Public Health at the University of Haifa and former head of the National Center for Disease Control at the Ministry of Health

Subway passengers in Mexico City wear surgical masks to avoid contracting the swine flu. Photographed by Eneas De Troya under the cc-by-2.0 license. From Wikipedia
Subway passengers in Mexico City wear surgical masks to avoid contracting the swine flu. Photographed by Eneas De Troya under the cc-by-2.0 license. From Wikipedia

"The level of global preparedness for the spread of swine flu, which is currently at level 5 out of 6, is not at all related to the severity of the disease, but to the route of infection," said Prof. Manfred Green, head of the School of Public Health at the University of Haifa and former head of the National Center for Disease Control at the Ministry of Health.

Prof. Green, who spoke as part of a seminar organized by the School of Public Health at the University of Haifa, emphasized in his words that the symptoms of swine flu are not serious or dangerous and are similar to the symptoms of normal flu. "My assessment is that the virus will become a seasonal flu virus," he said. Regarding the global alert level, which as mentioned has risen to level 5 out of 6, Prof. Green explained that these are levels related to the extent of the outbreak and not to the severity of the epidemic.

As part of the gaps between the reality and the feeling in the public, Prof. Green said that the face masks that have become the symbol of the outbreak are not at all effective in preventing infection and are only effective in preventing the spread - that is, a sick person who wears the mask will not infect others, while a healthy person who wears the mask can still be easily infected .

According to him, influenza is a virus that originated in birds, which over the years has passed to other animals such as horses, pigs and humans. The fact that the current flu first passed from birds to pigs probably moderated the symptoms of the disease and made it milder. He also added that due to the desire not to harm the pig farmers, it was decided that the official name of the disease would be H1N12009.

Prof. Tamar Shochat from the Center for Disease Control at the Ministry of Health said that the components of the current flu vaccine are not effective in protecting against the new virus. Prof. Green noted that for logistical reasons, the pharmaceutical industry is not able to produce a vaccine in one year that will vaccinate both against the "regular" flu and against the new flu, "it will be necessary to decide for next winter which virus to prepare a vaccine for", he noted and emphasized that there is no doubt that the next virus will arrive And it's only a matter of time before that happens.

14 תגובות

  1. Let's hope that the letters of the article are not sticky..
    not nice.
    Shabbat Shalom.

  2. Sorry, another correction, the previous correction is a mistake. The R0 is correct and the mortality rates are correct. I will go rest…

  3. You can laugh, but here are some reasons to worry:
    1. The Ro (how many are infected per patient) of the virus is 1.6, while that of the seasonal flu is 1.1. It is expected that the Ro of the virus will reach 2.3 and even 3.
    2. The percentage of mortality from seasonal flu is 0.1, for the swine flu virus, it is 0.6 already and it is expected to reach 0.9.
    3. The virus mainly affects young people, aged 5-24, then adults - 24-44 and finally adults, who probably have a natural vaccine for the virus, leftovers from the 1918 epidemic, unlike the rest of the population.
    4. The virus kills perfectly healthy people. Still most of the dead are with other diseases, but 1 out of every five who died was completely healthy.
    5. The population has no natural vaccine against the virus, we did not evolve alongside it, the evolution of the virus is much, much faster than the evolution of the human body. Who knows what happens in such a system?

    In short, it should be taken seriously.

  4. fresh,

    I would consult with Gillian or Hanan Sabat on the subject.

    It may have something to do with alien visits

  5. In my opinion, the hidden is greater than the revealed on the subject.
    As one who returned from the USA not long ago and was identified as the carrier of the virus with very mild symptoms, but was hospitalized under duress even though the doctors' tests determined that my immune system had overcome the disease.
    In addition, as part of the treatment, the controversial TAMIFLU capsules are given and it is also not clear if these capsules have not expired.
    In Israel, over 100 people have already been infected, not as officially announced.
    In my estimation the number is even higher.
    Also, in my humble opinion, doctors do not have clear information about the virus, neither the way of infection nor the exact incubation time.
    I would not be surprised if in a few years we receive information saying that the virus is a laboratory product.
    By the way, US Vice President Go Biden tried to advise his country's citizens to stop flying, unless the flight is absolutely essential.
    He was silenced by the administration.
    The obvious question is, why did he say that, and why was he immediately silenced.
    Is it only because of the economic reason?

  6. Is swine flu man-made?

    What seems suspicious is the genetic combination of the different strains that miraculously combined to actually create a new virus.
    Based on information from the media, this strain of influenza contains parts of:

    Human influenza virus
    Avian influenza virus from North America
    Swine flu virus from Europe
    Swine flu virus from Asia

    This combination is amazing because in order for a virus containing such a combination to occur naturally, an infected bird from North America would have to infect a pig in Europe and then have to be infected again with a virus that has now undergone a rare cross-sexual mutation that allows birds to be infected with it. The bird will infect a pig from Asia, the virus will undergo a mutagenic change that will allow it to infect humans while retaining the genetic components of bird flu and Asian swine flu, and then a human will contract the virus in Mexico and infect others.
    Of course, the way the virus was mutagenically altered could be completely different, but it gives you an idea of ​​the incredible complexity that has to happen to create a virus with these characteristics.

    Now, what are the chances that a mutated virus that crosses continents and species will arise naturally, not in a laboratory?
    It seems almost impossible for this to happen naturally without any man-made encouragement.
    Of course the chance exists, but it is completely slim.

    And here is an article in the latest news from the date 14/5/09
    http://www.siz.co.il/my.php?i=zjkzzyyzzcwj.jpg
    http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,519976,00.html

    The question, of course, is what could be an obstacle to developing and releasing such a thing?
    So some fear, for example, that an outbreak of the flu will be an excuse to impose emergency laws and martial law.
    Did you get the swine flu? The authorities can break into your home without permission, they are allowed to destroy any building or private object suspected of being infected with the virus, they can prohibit any gathering or gathering of people, and finally, they can put you in isolation by force.
    Anyone who opposes the instructions of the medical staff or anyone on their behalf may find himself in prison for six months.
    And here..
    http://news.bostonherald.com/news/politics/view/2009_04_28_Mass__Senate_approves_pandemic_flu_prep_bill/

    And of course the money...that flows to the pharmaceutical corporations.
    In fact, Baxter Pharmaceuticals, the same company that "accidentally" inserted live flu viruses into vaccines sent to 18 countries, is making a fortune from the current pandemic.
    http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/chi-sat-baxter-flu-heparin-may16,0,144102.story

    So there will be something to think about. For health..

  7. He forgot to mention that the current situation, even before the virus has undergone many mutations, is that this flu is twice as contagious as seasonal flu and the death rate is 6 times greater.

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