However, viewers in Israel should lower their expectations due to the two-thirds full moon, and due to the fact that it is a northern group that will be found below the northwestern horizon
The Dragonids - a strong meteor storm is expected to provide us with an experience on October 8 (the end of Yom Kippur). Starting at 21:00 Israel time and will continue all evening. The forecasts are quite extensive so it is not possible to know what the rate of meteors will be. It is estimated that the peak is expected around 23:00. Some astronomers predict a rate of a thousand meteors per hour, making the meter a storm.
The Draconids or Giacobinids as they are also known by this name, come from a point in the Dragon group in the Northern Hemisphere. In the past, especially in 1933 and 1946, the Draconids turned into a meteor storm at the rate of one meteor per second.
Although the Dragon group will be close to the horizon and towards sunset, the meteors should be seen all over the sky so it is definitely possible to see an impressive meteor. It is likely that fewer meteors will be seen from Israel than from the northern countries due to the proximity of the group to the horizon, but the moon that will reach more than half of its fullness will interfere more until it sets at 1:XNUMX a.m., at which time most of the Dragon group will also be hidden behind the northwestern horizon, and then the rate of meteors is expected to decrease significantly. An advantage that can be placed near the group to the horizon is that it is quite possible that you will see a large amount of meteors with long paths almost from the horizon to the horizon, the meteors will not be seen only in the direction of the north but will be seen across the entire sky when it is seen that their origin is from the northwest.
Astronomers believe that the predicted path of the Earth through the remains of the tail of Comet Giacobini-Ziner (21P/Giacobini-Ziner) will cause a strong storm, similar to the one we saw in previous years when the Earth passed through a compressed band of fragments. Some reports said that NASA is even considering raising the alert level at the International Space Station against the impact of meteors. On the other hand, there are astronomers who believe that the shower will be sparse - only 5 meteors per hour.
The meter is of course relevant to viewers in places where darkness prevails, such as Europe and the Mezzeit. However, the Dragon constellation - which surrounds the northern celestial pole, will be seen at its best the further north you are.
Another problem is that the celestial show will be accompanied by the relatively bright moon (after all, the tenth day of the Hebrew month), which will make it possible to see only the brightest meteors, but if the forecasts are correct, it will still be possible to see many meteors. Also on October 7th and 9th it will still be possible to see meteors, so it's worth checking the sky and it's worth taking your bike even on the eve of Yom Kippur to dark places to watch the meteors.
