Trump returns to talk about “controlling Greenland” – but Greenland’s minerals remain mostly under the ice

Despite Washington's talk of acquisition and "national security," environmental regulation, legal uncertainty, and extreme conditions in the Arctic make mining and drilling difficult—and the ice sheet continues to melt.

A mineral-rich area in eastern Greenland. Illustration: depositphotos.com
A mineral-rich area in eastern Greenland. Illustration: depositphotos.com

US President Donald Trump's statements about wanting to "take control" of Greenland received an unusual public response in Europe this week, after the White House confirmed that discussions were underway about the possibility of "buying" the island - and even added that "all options are on the table." However, in reality, experts and officials in Greenland point to a large gap between the geopolitical fantasy and the economic, engineering and regulatory difficulties: Even if Greenland has oil, gas and rare metals, most of them are not "waiting" for rapid production.

Europe signals: Not a “real estate deal,” but sovereignty and borders

According to the report, Trump last month repeated the claim that the US “needs Greenland for national security,” and again spoke of taking over the autonomous Danish territory – statements that provoked a coordinated response from the leaders of Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Spain and Britain. In a joint statement, they emphasized that security in the Arctic should rely on cooperation between NATO allies, and that “Greenland belongs to its people” – and only Denmark and Greenland are authorized to decide on its affairs.

At the same time, White House spokeswoman Caroline Levitt said at a press conference that the administration is “currently discussing” the possibility of purchasing Greenland, and when asked about the possibility of military involvement, she replied that “all options are always on the table.” (Climate Rights International)

Lots of resources on paper, few projects in reality

According to the USGS (United States Geological Survey), the Arctic region has significant undiscovered/fully quantified oil and gas potential, while USGS reports indicate the growing importance of “rare earths” for advanced industries – from clean energy and batteries to security systems. Within this picture, Greenland is seen as a potential resource destination – but distance, climate and cost change the rules of the game. (U.S. Geological Survey Publication Database)

Greenland itself has already signaled in recent years where it is heading: in 2021, it banned new offshore oil and gas exploration, partly on the grounds of the climate crisis. A number of old concessions issued before the ban still exist in a certain maritime area, but there is currently no active production – and even if they try to start drilling, these are high-risk, expensive and infrastructure-dependent projects.

In the minerals sector, the picture is even more complex. A senior official in the local government in Greenland explained to Inside Climate News that many projects are stalled due to regulatory restrictions and financing difficulties. A prominent example is a large deposit where rare metals are mixed with uranium ore: concerns about radioactive contamination and the local public struggle led to a renewed tightening of restrictions on uranium mining in 2021. The company that holds the historic license in the area (now Energy Transition Minerals) is conducting arbitration proceedings against Greenland demanding access to the resources or compensation of billions of dollars – an issue that adds legal uncertainty to any investor.

Another deposit, held by an American-owned company, is also not progressing to production – partly because the difficult stage is not just “getting it out of the ground,” but processing and separating the minerals after mining, a process that is expensive and complex, especially on a remote island with extreme conditions. According to the same source, European countries have actually expressed a more tangible interest in supporting mining in Greenland in recent years, while he has not identified any direct moves on the part of the US on the issue.

The real big risk: the ice, not the mine

Beyond the question of profitability, the debate over natural resources in Greenland touches on the heart of the climate crisis. Most of the island is covered by a layer of ice that is about 3.2 kilometers thick in the center. If the entire Greenland ice sheet were to melt, scientific estimates indicate a global rise in sea level of about 7.4 meters. The rate of melting is already high, and it is directly affected by the amount of global emissions – regardless of who will politically “control” the territory. In other words: Greenland’s minerals may remain in the ground for many years, but the ice is already responding.

Read the full article at Inside Climate News

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