To meet the goal of the Paris Agreement, most of the world's fossil fuel reserves must remain in the ground

Almost 60% of oil and natural gas (methane) reserves and 90% of coal must remain untapped in order for us to meet a carbon budget of 1.5 degrees above pre-industrial levels, the researchers write. * In Israel, as in Israel, they "convert" natural gas and claim that it is not a fossil fuel

A new study in the journal Nature reports that oil, gas and coal production must begin to decline immediately to have even a 50% chance of keeping global temperatures from rising more than 1.5 degrees Celsius.

As part of the Paris Agreement, countries agreed to try to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. Today, according to the latest IPCC report published last month, we are already at an increase of 1.09 degrees, of which, by the way, 1.05 is attributed to human activity.

After a summer of extreme weather that highlighted the urgency of limiting global warming in purely human terms, new research clarifies what it will take to do so. In order to have only a 50 percent chance of meeting the most ambitious climate goal, the study found that the production of all fossil fuels would have to begin to decline immediately, and a significant majority of the world's oil, gas, and coal reserves would have to remain underground in the coming decades.

While the study, Published Wednesday in the journal Nature, is just the latest to argue that meeting the 2015 Paris Agreement goals to limit global warming requires a fast track to clean energy, he provides clear and specific data on exactly how far from these goals the world remains.

"The inescapable evidence and I hope that we have shown and that successive reports have shown that if we want to meet the 1.5 degree target, then the global production of such fuels has to start to decrease," said Daniel Walsby, a researcher at University College London, in the United Kingdom, the lead author of the study.

In the introduction to the article, the researchers write: "The parties to the 2015 Paris Agreement pledged to limit global warming to below 2 degrees Celsius and strive to increase efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 degrees Celsius relative to the pre-industrial period. However, fossil fuels continue to dominate the global energy system and have Realize a sharp decrease in their use to keep the temperature rise below 1.5 degrees Celsius."

"In the article we use a global energy systems model to estimate the amount of fossil fuels that must be left in the ground, regionally and globally, to allow a 50% probability of limiting warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius. 

"Nearly 60% of oil and natural gas (methane) reserves and 90% of coal must remain untapped to stay within a 1.5 degree carbon budget. This is a big increase over previous estimates, especially for oil, an additional 25% of its reserves must be in the ground. Furthermore, we estimate that oil and gas production must decrease globally by 3% each year until 2050. This means that most regions must reach Peak production is now or within the next decade, making many operational and planned fossil fuel projects infeasible.

"Meeting the 1.5 degree target even with a 50% probability requires leaving more carbon in the ground, because such projects have been operating for many years and there are still no technologies to create a negative emission balance."

And with us - the campaign to leave the gas in the ground failed miserably, because the previous government preferred, until the last moment, the interest of the gas tycoons over the public interest and the commitments that this government itself gave in international forums.

The government changed, but as Prof. Adi Wolfson points out In an article on the Seventh Eye website, the gas tycoons still control it. Minister Karin Elharer announced the expected completion of the transition of operating power plants from coal to natural gas, while the company's website also presented natural gas - which is a fossil energy in itself - as a clean alternative to fossil energies.

"After the Ministry of Energy has been trying for years in every way to present natural gas as green, clean, sustaining and more, it recently surprisingly did, and tried to exclude it from the list of fossil fuels, which are responsible for the emission of greenhouse gases at the root of the climate crisis. In a post and video that the ministry recently uploaded to its Facebook page, It was portrayed as if replacing coal with natural gas is replacing fossil fuel with clean energy." Prof. Wolfson writes. He further points out that the solemn statement provided by Ministers Elharer and Zandberg upon assuming office on the transfer of Israel toA low-carbon economy by 2050 It is inclusive and does not include any measurable goals.

Perhaps the new report, which explicitly mentions natural gas as a fuel that should be left in the ground, will help the Ministry of Energy in Israel to understand what fossil fuel is, and what is clean fuel.

More of the topic in Hayadan:

• An experiment was conducted at Tivon as part of the effort to find a solution to the wild boar problem
• IPCC Sixth Climate Report Summary for Decision Makers. Doc
• Anthropocene The new human geological era
• The artist left an empty circle in the center of the image. How do you fill it?
• Amazon has received permission from the FAA to fly drones designed to deliver packages to product buyers